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Perfectly Confident

How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely

ebook
1 of 1 copy available
1 of 1 copy available

An expert on the psychology of decision making at Berkeley's Haas School of Business helps readers calibrate their confidence, arguing that some confidence is good, but overconfidence can hinder growth.
A surge of confidence can feel fantastic—offering a rush of energy, even a dazzling vision of the future. It can give us courage and bolster our determination when facing adversity. But if that self-assurance leads us to pursue impossible goals, it can waste time, money, and energy. Self-help books and motivational speakers tell us that the more confident we are, the better. But this way of thinking can lead to enormous trouble.

Decades of research demonstrates that we often have an over-inflated sense of self and are rarely as good as we believe. Perfectly Confident is the first book to bring together the best psychological and economic studies to explain exactly what confidence is, when it can be helpful, and when it can be destructive in our lives.

Confidence is an attitude that takes into account both personal feelings and the facts. Don Moore identifies the ways confidence behaves in real life and raises thought-provoking questions. How optimistic should you be about an uncertain future? What justifies your confidence in something amorphous and subjective like your attractiveness or sense of humor?

Moore reminds us that the key to success is to avoid being both over- and under-confident. In this essential guide, he shows how to become perfectly confident—how to strive for and maintain the well-calibrated, adaptive confidence that can elevate all areas of our lives.

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    • Library Journal

      Starred review from April 1, 2020

      Moore (Univ. of California at Berkeley's Haas Sch. of Business) shares results from his many years of analysis and research into confidence and decisionmaking. He examines psychological and economic studies that clarify confidence and explain when the trait is helpful and when it can backfire. Moore emphasizes moderating by sharing how to maintain a healthy balance of overconfidence and underconfidence. While overconfidence can result in errors, underconfidence can lead to missed opportunities. The author teaches readers how to distinguish between the three main forms of confidence--estimating a meaningful self-image, realistically comparing oneself with others, and accurately assessing these inner beliefs--while also explaining how to avoid overestimation, overplacement, and overprecision. The premise is that determining the importance of confidence can be confusing for many, regardless of their profession. Solidly researched chapters explain the author's view of confidence, how to reconsider what you think you know, how to think of possible outcomes and associated probabilities, and how to dispose of unhelpful wishful thinking. He concludes with recommendations and strategies on how to find your way to perfect confidence. VERDICT Wise, solidly researched, and highly recommended for academic libraries supporting business and psychology curriculum.--Dale Farris, Groves, TX

      Copyright 2020 Library Journal, LLC Used with permission.

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  • English

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