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Cold Peace

Avoiding the New Cold War

ebook
1 of 1 copy available
1 of 1 copy available

An urgent examination of the world barreling toward a new Cold War.

By 1990, the first Cold War was ending. The Berlin Wall had fallen and the Warsaw Pact was crumbling; following Russia's lead, cries for democracy were being embraced by a young Chinese populace. The post–Cold War years were a time of immense hope and possibility. They heralded an opportunity for creative cooperation among nations, an end to ideological strife, perhaps even the beginning of a stable international order of liberal peace.

But the days of optimism are over.

As renowned international relations expert Michael Doyle makes hauntingly clear, we now face the devastating specter of a new Cold War, this time orbiting the trilateral axes of Russia, the United States, and China, and exacerbated by new weapons of cyber warfare and more insidious forms of propaganda.

Such a conflict at this phase in our global history would have catastrophic repercussions, Doyle argues, stymieing global collaboration efforts that are key to reversing climate change, preventing the next pandemic, and securing nuclear nonproliferation. The recent, devastating invasion of Ukraine is both an example and an augur of the costs that lay in wait.

However, there is hope.

Putin is not Stalin, Xi is not Mao, and no autocrat is a modern Hitler. There is also an unprecedented level of shared global interest in prosperity and protecting the planet from environmental disaster.

While it is unlikely that the United States, Russia, and China will ever establish a "warm peace," there are significant, reasonable compromises between nations that can lead to a détente. While the future remains very much in doubt, the elegant set of accords and non-subversion pacts Doyle proposes in this book may very well save the world.

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    • Library Journal

      November 1, 2022

      A professor at the Columbia University School of International and Public Affairs, Doyle highlights cyberwarfare, interventions in foreign elections, and the divisiveness in U.S. politics to show that the United States, China, and Russia are moving toward a second Cold War. He also explains not just why this state of affairs must be avoided--nations worldwide need to work with China on climate change and Russia on nuclear disengagement--but, as his subtitle suggests, how.

      Copyright 2022 Library Journal, LLC Used with permission.

    • Publisher's Weekly

      January 23, 2023
      Looming confrontations with China and Russia can be defused with diplomacy, compromise, and liberal socioeconomic policy, according to this sincere yet scattershot study. Columbia University political scientist Doyle (Liberal Peace) surveys sore spots in America’s relations with China and Russia, including economic and military rivalries, the war in Ukraine, clashes over Taiwan, and Chinese and Russian anger at Western criticisms of their human rights abuses. The author traces these tensions to domestic politics marked by nationalism, populism, and imperial nostalgia, and a need for foreign enemies and military adventures to distract the public from corrupt, authoritarian rule in Russia and China and economic inequality in the U.S. Doyle’s proposals to maintain a “cold peace” include resolving the war in Ukraine by allowing Crimeans to choose between Russia and Ukraine and withdrawing Russian forces from the Donbas, maintaining “constructive ambiguity” over Taiwan’s status as a self-governing part of China, and welcoming Russia and China into international institutions while strengthening alliances among democracies. Doyle offers plenty of insights into contemporary geopolitical frictions, but his historical analogues (such as comparing Russian and China to fascist Italy and Japan) are less persuasive, and his solutions optimistically rely on political leaders in all three countries setting aside short-term benefits in favor of long-term stability. This well-intentioned treatise is more aspirational than actionable.

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